How to bet tonight’s NFC South Showdown: Bucs @ Falcons

NFC South showdown that is a virtual pick ‘em. The Falcons are a slight home favorite at -1.5. The total points are set at 43.5.

NFL

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook: 

Tampa Bay +1.5 (-105)

Atlanta -1.5 (-115)

Tampa Bay ML (+110)

Atlanta ML (-130)

O43.5 (-110)

U43.5 (-110)

The Bucs were off to a hot start until they ran into the Broncos’ defense in Week 3. I won’t call that loss a fluke but it was definitely out of character. This Bucs team is legit. Outside of the Broncos game the Bucs are 3-0 with a +38 point differential over high power offenses in the Eagles, Lions and Commanders. 

Despite the short week, road teams have gone 30-31 SU and 38-22-1 ATS in TNF contests from 2019 through the 2023 regular season.

The Bucs have covered the spread in 8 of their last 11 games. The Falcons are 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 games as favorites and 3-7 straight up in their last 10 as favorites. 

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Here’s how I see it playing out

The Bucs are legit contenders if Baker Mayfield continues to play the way he is. The Falcons don’t pose much of a true threat in my opinion and this gives the Bucs an opportunity to confirm their position in the NFC South. 

Liv’s Pick: Tampa Bay ML

RElated COntent
October 4, 2025
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October 4, 2025
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The Gameplan Newsletter: Broncos Prepare for Defending Champs
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The Gameplan Newsletter: Broncos prepare for road game vs. the reigning champs, Buffs aim to secure first Big 12 win
Welcome back to the Gameplan Newsletter, a weekly roundup of all the news, statistics and storylines you need to know about Colorado football and the Denver Broncos heading into the weekend. We’re here to welcome you to October football and two high-stakes football games ahead — let’s get to it.
The Gameplan Newsletter: Broncos prepare for road game vs. the reigning champs, Buffs aim to secure first Big 12 win
The Gameplan Newsletter: Broncos Prepare for Defending Champs

Welcome back to the Gameplan Newsletter, a weekly roundup of all the news, statistics and storylines you need to know about Colorado football and the Denver Broncos heading into the weekend. We’re here to welcome you to October football and two high-stakes football games ahead — let’s get to it.